WIBW

Strengthening supercell over northwest northeast Kansas on the evening of Saturday, May 16th, quickly becoming tornado-warned and producing nonstop lightning across the sky ⚡️🌩️ @wibw #kswx #tornado #weather #wx

FIRST ALERT 5/18: Warm & windy w/ main Mod. severe risk Monday PM/eve. Very large hail (2”+), damaging winds & tornadoes possible. Discrete storms raise stronger tornado risk; a line favors widespread winds. Heavy rain/flash flooding possible.

FIRST ALERT 5/17: Warm/windy with Enhanced Risk (3/5). Storms may develop 5–7 PM, mainly west, then move east overnight. If the cap breaks: very large hail, 70+ mph winds, a few tornadoes, and localized flooding. Timing/track uncertain.

FIRST ALERT WEATHER DAYS: SUN (May 17) – MON (May 18) ⛈️🚨 Severe storm chances continue today and Monday, with both bringing impacts—but Monday stands out as the more significant setup. Today (Enhanced Risk 3/5): Storms develop late afternoon (5–7 PM) west, moving east overnight. If storms break the cap, expect golf ball to baseball size hail, 70+ mph winds, a few tornadoes, and localized flooding. Some uncertainty remains with storm development and placement. Monday (Moderate Risk 4/5): Higher confidence in a widespread severe event. All hazards possible: very large hail (2”+), 70–80+ mph winds, and strong tornadoes. Flash flooding may also become a concern with repeated storms. Stay weather aware and have multiple ways to receive warnings, especially overnight. ⚠️ @wibw #severe #storms #kansas #weather #kswx

FIRST ALERT 5/18: Confidence is highest that Monday is the most active day. Severe storms are expected late afternoon through Monday night. All hazards are possible, including very large hail, destructive winds, and potentially strong tornadoes.

FIRST ALERT 5/17: Lower confidence (cap/outflow uncertainty). If storms develop near the dryline late PM—main risks hail & damaging winds, with a few spin-ups possible. Windy regardless: sustained ~30 mph, gusts up to ~45 mph.

FIRST ALERT 5/16: Isolated storms may pop 6–8 PM mainly north of I-70 near the KS/NE line (hail possible, brief spin-up). Bigger late-night uncertainty: a west-to-east MCS may track near the state line; if it dips south, damaging winds are the main risk.

FIRST ALERT WEATHER DAYS FOR SATURDAY, MAY 16 - MONDAY, MAY 18 ⛈️🚨 Severe storm chances remain in the forecast today and Sunday, with the greatest potential generally focused along and north of the Highway 36 corridor into north central Kansas. Not everyone will see storms, but where they do develop, they could quickly become strong to severe. The main hazards today and Sunday will be large hail and damaging winds, with a low-end tornado threat mainly today and Sunday afternoon and evening. Much of the area may stay dry due to a lingering cap, but any storms that can develop along the dryline in western or southwestern Kansas could move eastward and maintain some intensity into the evening hours. 👀 A Slight Risk (2/5) remains in place for parts of the region, though confidence is still low to medium due to uncertainty in storm coverage and timing. Some short-term guidance also hints at a possible cluster or line of storms developing and moving into north-central to northeast Kansas late tonight into Sunday morning. Otherwise, storm development will remain isolated and highly dependent on whether the cap can be overcome during peak heating around 4-5 PM. 🧊💨 Monday continues to stand out as the most significant weather day of the period. An Enhanced Risk (3/5) is in place, with all severe hazards possible including very large hail, damaging winds, a few potentially strong to violent tornadoes, and localized flooding. Strong instability and wind shear could support discrete supercells early in the day before storms potentially grow into clusters or a line later in the evening. 🧊💨🌪️ While details will continue to evolve, Monday is the day with the highest potential impact and the one to closely monitor. ⚠️ @wibw #severe #storms #kansas #weather #kswx

Near-record warmth through Monday: it’ll feel like midsummer. If outside, hydrate, take breaks, and never leave kids/pets in cars. This heat can also help “fuel” stronger storms later in the period.

Late today: severe storms most likely near NC/far N KS (large hail, damaging winds). Sun risk lower confidence, mainly NC KS (hail/wind; low tornado risk). Mon is the main day—front/dryline bring widespread severe, all hazards + flash flooding.

FIRST ALERT WEATHER DAYS | MAY 15–18 ⛈️🚨 Active pattern brings daily severe weather chances through Monday. Not everyone will see storms each day, with overall focus shifting from north → southeast through the period. Monday stands out as the highest-impact day. 👀 FRIDAY: Storms develop in Nebraska and move SE into the area late afternoon/evening. Main threats: large hail (especially north of I-70) and damaging winds (along/south of I-70). A strong cap may limit coverage, but any storm that forms could intensify quickly. Slight Risk (2/5) 🧊💨 SATURDAY: Similar setup, but best storm chances shift farther northwest into Nebraska. A stronger cap in eastern Kansas may limit activity. If storms develop, large hail and wind are possible. Slight Risk (2/5) 🧊💨 SUNDAY: Dryline becomes more active, with highest threat near north-central Kansas. Storms possible late afternoon into overnight. Coverage and placement still uncertain. Slight Risk (2/5) 🧊💨 MONDAY: Cold front, dryline, and surface low combine for a more organized severe weather setup. All hazards possible, with potential for a more widespread impactful event. Enhanced Risk (3/5) 🧊💨🌪️ Stay weather-aware and check for updates—details will continue to evolve. ⚠️ @wibw #severe #storms #kansas #weather #kswx

Happy Birthday to Royals legend George Brett!