Polymarket

@polymarket

Trade on politics, news, sports, culture, & tech. @polymarketsports @polymarketespanol
Posts
1,375
Followers
676k
Following
792
Account Insight
Score
71.21%
Index
Health Rate
65.82%
Users Ratio
854:1
Weeks posts
1.69
We’re excited to announce ‘The Situation Room’ by Polymarket, the world’s first bar dedicated to monitoring the situation, is coming to Washington D.C. Grand opening is this Friday.
49.7k 1,105
1 month ago
Nicki Minaj has sparked controversy after becoming one of Donald Trump’s most vocal celebrity supporters. In newly released interviews, the rapper claimed many stars secretly agree with her political views, positioning herself as a trailblazer willing to face criticism that others avoid.
1,475 85
5 hours ago
New polling shows 71% of Americans oppose an AI data center being built nearby, compared with 53% who oppose a local nuclear power plant. The data comes as Google and SpaceX are reportedly in talks to support space-based data centers. Traders predict a 39% chance there will be an AI data center in space before 2028.
3,374 116
1 day ago
Russia’s parliament approved a bill giving President Putin power to send troops into foreign countries if Russian citizens are allegedly being “persecuted.” Critics warn the move could give the Kremlin a new justification for military intervention abroad. Traders predict only a 2% chance Putin will be out as President of Russia by June 30th.
19.5k 805
1 day ago
Israel said it plans to sue The New York Times for defamation over an essay detailing allegations of sexual abuse against Palestinian detainees in Israeli military custody. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called the report by columnist Nicholas Kristof “one of the most hideous and distorted lies ever published against the State of Israel.” Traders predict only a 10% chance Netanyahu will be pardoned by the end of June.
2,159 217
2 days ago
Several top Democrats are already positioning themselves ahead of the 2028 presidential race as early speculation over the party’s next nominee intensifies. Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez currently lead Polymarket odds for the Democratic nomination, though none have officially announced a campaign. Traders predict a 24% chance Newsom will win the Democratic Presidential nomination for 2028.
10.6k 629
2 days ago
Chinese President Xi Jinping warned President Trump that tensions over Taiwan could push U.S.-China relations toward conflict during a closed-door meeting Thursday, even as both sides reported progress on trade talks. The warning came during a two-day summit between the leaders of the world’s two largest economies. Traders predict only a 2% chance Trump endorses China’s claim to Taiwan this week.
6,923 133
2 days ago
President Trump arrived in Beijing to a ceremonial welcome led by China’s vice president, Han Zheng. Analysts say the carefully staged reception was designed to signal respect while stopping short of a greeting from Xi Jinping himself. Traders predict a 56% chance Trump and Xi will shake hands for 15 or more seconds.
15.2k 680
3 days ago
Mayor Zohran Mamdani unveiled a new NYC budget that closes a $12 billion deficit without raising property taxes or tapping the city’s rainy day fund. The plan relies on $4 billion in state aid and $1.77 billion in savings from agency cuts and unfilled vacant positions. Traders predict a 31% chance Mamdani will freeze NYC rents before 2027.
2,015 247
3 days ago
Health officials in northern Illinois are investigating a possible hantavirus case in Winnebago County. Officials say the person likely contracted a North American strain linked to rodent droppings, not the strain connected to the recent cruise ship outbreak. The odds of a hantavirus pandemic in 2026 are still sitting low at just 9%.
4,995 515
3 days ago
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he wants to “draw down to zero” U.S. military aid to Israel within the next decade. He said it was “absolutely” the right time to reset financial ties with Washington as Israel strengthens relations with Gulf states. Traders predict a 6% chance Trump will meet with Netanyahu in May.
7,725 347
4 days ago
Former California Mayor Eileen Wang of Arcadia has been charged with acting as an illegal agent of the Chinese government and agreed to plead guilty, federal prosecutors said Monday. Wang resigned as mayor after authorities accused her of secretly promoting pro-Beijing propaganda in the U.S. alongside Yaoning “Mike” Sun, who is serving a four-year prison sentence in the case.
18.2k 669
4 days ago